‘The world has changed’: U. political science professor analyzes Putin’s next moves in Ukraine

A Ukrainian serviceman holds a rocket-propelled grenade launcher at preventing positions exterior the town of Kharkiv, Ukraine on Thursday. As Russian troops intensify their assault on Ukraine and its folks, it is troublesome to find out what is going to occur subsequent. (Maksim Levin, Reuters)

Estimated learn time: 2-3 minutes

SALT LAKE CITY — As Russian troops intensify their assault on Ukraine and its folks, it is troublesome to find out what is going to occur subsequent. Occupation presents long-term challenges for Russia, and a political science professor from the College of Utah stated the Ukrainians have fought for his or her independence earlier than.

“Ukraine has a convention of preventing for its independence,” stated political science professor Marjorie Citadel, who has studied that a part of the world for a number of a long time.

She stated the worldwide political order has been comparatively secure in Japanese Europe over the past 50 plus years. Now, it has been fractured in a matter of days. The Russian invasion of Ukraine dramatically, and rapidly, modified the regional steadiness of energy. Citadel believes uncertainty is as excessive as it has been in a very long time.

“We do not know what Putin’s plans for Ukraine are,” she stated.

It stays unclear how a lot of the nation Russian President Vladimir Putin intends to manage.

“It appears sadly sure that he could also be planning to arrange a puppet regime,” Citadel stated.

The political science professor characterised that as a miserable and darkish risk, “given Ukraine’s dimension, given its significance, given Ukraine’s hard-won democracy,” she stated.

Regardless of Russia’s army may, Citadel factors out that occupying a neighboring nation is difficult and costly. If there are Ukrainians keen to assist Putin set up a regime, it might be more cost effective politically and financially.

“If that seems to be troublesome, then I feel that he’s going to have a really laborious, lengthy, costly slog with it,” she stated.

Citadel cited a current survey of Ukrainians that exhibits practically 60% are keen to personally, actively resist a Russian invasion.

We can not assume that Putin goals to rebuild the Soviet Union. However, the invasion of Ukraine raises that query.

“I agree that he would not wish to reassemble the Soviet Union,” Citadel stated. “However, his imaginative and prescient of Russian safety, Russian prosperity, Russia taking the place that it ought to take on the earth requires dominating its neighbors.”

Which leaves the U.S. and its allies very nervous.

“The world has modified, and we’re dealing with a big quantity of uncertainty, each about what is going to occur in Ukraine, and in regards to the worldwide order.”

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Jed Boal

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